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Showing posts with label Thomas Friedman. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Thomas Friedman. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 28, 2017

2007 Was a Watershed Year Because of So Much More Than the iPhone



Today, June 29th, is being noted as the 10th anniversary of when Apple began selling the iPhone, which Steve Jobs had introduced with great fanfare on Jan. 9, 2007. There’s no question the iPhone changed our world forever, but, while the iPhone’s introduction may be the best known technology-related event of 2007, many other things happened during the 12 months, before and after that date.

In chapter 2 of Thank You for Being Late titled “What the Hell Happened in 2007?” author Tom Friedman details the many contemporaneous developments of that time which transformed our world — just prior to the “Great Recession,” which changed everything the following year.
 
Here are the other tech developments which Tom Friedman cited (read that chapter for more detail):

* Within a year, Apple opened the development of iPhone apps to third parties, which greatly magnified the iPhone’s impact on the world. There are currently over 2.2 million apps in the App Store, 90 percent of them free. Another 6 percent cost 99 cents.
* In September 2006, Facebook (which had been confined until that time to colleges and high schools) opened itself to anyone in the world over the age of 13 with a valid email address.
* In 2007, Twitter was spun off into a separate platform and started to scale globally.
* In late 2006, Google purchased YouTube, substantially growing that service’s web presence.
*  Change.org, a petition website currently claiming 100 million users (one of the first B Corps certified by B Lab) was created in 2007.
* Google launched Android, an open-standards platform for non-Apple smartphones, in 2007.
 *  Amazon released the Kindle in 2007, launching the eBook revolution.
*  Airbnb was conceived in 2007 in San Francisco.
*  In 2007, IBM introduced “Watson,” a cognitive computer combining machine learning and artificial intelligence, sparking (I suspect) the AI revolution.
*  In 2007, Intel introduced non-silicon materials into microchips, enabling exponential growth in computing power.
*  In 2007, an open-source, Java-based programming framework called Hadoop emerged which made “big data” possible. Hadoop supports the processing and storage of extremely large data sets in a distributed computing environment.
*  In 2007, an open-source software development platform called Github emerged which accelerated software development. It allows software developers to share coding so each developer doesn’t have to  re-create every module of a program from scratch.
*  In Clean Tech, 2007 saw “the beginning of an exponential rise in solar energy, wind, biofuels, LED’s, energy efficient buildings and the electrification of vehicles.”

Suggested but not included in Tom Friedman’s list, Elon Musk unveiled the Tesla Roadster in July 2006, with deliveries beginning in 2008. Its electric range of 200+ miles and 0-to-60 acceleration under 4 seconds awakened automobile manufacturers to the EV revolution, which they only now are beginning to embrace.

So, What About Real Estate?
How, you might ask, have these global transformations impacted the real estate industry? The answer is “not that much,” but let me describe how the real estate business has evolved since 2007.
 
For starters, the smartphone has changed our business as much as it has everyone else’s. We agents are always connected (if we want to be). With internet access in our pockets and numerous smartphone apps, we are nearly as business-enabled on the road as we would be if we carried our laptops with us. I’ve even done business with clients while on vacation in Europe and Mexico, thanks to affordable international cell and data service.
 
Other technological improvements have further enhanced our productivity, allowing us to better serve our clients. For example, almost all agents in our market subscribe to CTM eContracts, a fabulous service which makes it super-easy to create documents which can then be signed by clients or other agents on their computers, smartphones or tablets.
 
In 2013, our local multiple listing service (MLS), REcolorado.com, abandoned its in-house listing platform and subscribed to CoreLogic’s state-of-the-art platform which now serves us agents and our clients far better — and is constantly evolving. One example is that we can now set up email alerts which will notify clients within 15 minutes of a home being listed which matches their search criteria.
 
There has been a revolution in showing services, too. Centralized Showing Service (CSS) has contracted with all but a few metro brokerages to handle showing requests 24-hours a day, with a great website and smartphone app to match. Hopefully CSS will have 100% of brokerages on board soon, because it makes our job easier and serves sellers better than any agent or office can do by themselves.
 
Social media, including Facebook and Instagram, are playing an increasingly prominent role in the marketing of homes. Like many brokerages, Golden Real Estate utilizes social media to promote listings and open houses. In addition, we upload narrated video tours, including drone footage, of all listings to YouTube, which we then link to other social media, our website and the major real estate websites such as realtor.com and the Zillow group.
 
Every so often someone will predict that increased internet penetration will put real estate agents out of business, much like it has decimated the travel agency business. Yet, despite a proliferation of “for sale by owner” websites, we’ve observed a reduction in the number of “by owner” listings. Indeed, most “FSBO’s” end up hiring a listing agent or at least agreeing to pay a commission to buyers’ agents, realizing that there’s more to selling a home than putting a sign in the ground. Sellers need us not only for our transaction management and negotiation skills but for getting their homes the widest possible exposure (on the MLS, for starters) and having CSS manage showing requests and provide feedback.


Published June 28, 2017, in the Denver Post's YourHub section and in four Jefferson County weekly newspapers.

Wednesday, January 25, 2017

In This Internet Age, What’s the Future of the Broker-Centric Real Estate Model?



When I earned my real estate license back in 2003, web-based software was just beginning to take hold.  There were still vestiges of the “old school” around, best typified by the bound books of listings which were still being printed and used by some long-time brokers.

It wasn’t until a few years later that the printed books were discontinued and the older brokers either retired or came kicking and screaming into the 21st Century.

Then the iPhone was introduced in 2007 — 10 years ago this month. I’ve been reading Thomas Friedman’s latest book, Thank You for Being Late, in which he devotes a chapter to “What the Hell Happened in 2007?”  Facebook had just opened to non-college students and started to scale globally. Twitter was created in 2007 and Google launched Android. Kindle was introduced that year. So was LinkedIn.

Sustainability began to go mainstream, too. According to Friedman, 2007 was “the beginning of an exponential rise in solar energy, wind, biofuels, LED lighting, energy efficient buildings, and the electrification of vehicles.”

Now, just 10 years later, we’re in a different world. Travel agents have been decimated by the public’s ability to shop for and book their own travel online, and online purchases are threatening brick and mortar stores, cutting into the sales tax revenues of local jurisdictions.

Will real estate brokers go the way of the travel agents, now that over 90% of buyers do their own house hunting online, and sellers can list their homes online at little or no cost?

There are good reasons why the answer is “no.” Although there continue to be off-MLS sales of real estate — as there were before the Internet —  people still see the need to hire a professional on both sides of the real estate transaction. After all, buying a home is a far more complicated process than buying a car or refrigerator, and, unless you buy and sell homes frequently, there’s a lot that you may not know about the process.

Just last weekend, a first-time homebuying couple came to our office, curious about, and somewhat overwhelmed by, the process ahead of them in moving from renting to home ownership.  As I answered their questions, I was reminded of how much I have learned about real estate that I didn’t know before I entered the business — even though I had bought and sold a half dozen properties in New York, Hawaii and Colorado before becoming a Realtor.  Yes, experience really does count!

For any seller, getting under contract is only the beginning. A whole series of tasks and challenges lie ahead.  And what if there are multiple bidders for a home? At www.JimSmithColumns.com you’ll find several columns in which I shared strategies for buyers and sellers to succeed in this highly competitive seller’s market. But, again, that’s only the beginning of a long process in which an experienced broker like the ones at Golden Real Estate can help both buyer and seller get under contract and reach the closing table without problems.

For the seller, nothing can take the place of a trusted showing service, which is only available through a licensed agent. Yes, you can buy a lockbox at any hardware store, but you need a showing service to grant showings only to licensed agents and not to people pretending to be licensed agents. Only licensed agents are fingerprinted and subject to criminal background checks. A good showing service also has an automated system to collect and forward feedback from showing agents.

Buyers need guidance on finding a trusted local mortgage lender.  (We discourage the use of online lenders.)

The first big hurdle after going under contract is inspection. Buyers need help finding a trusted inspector, especially here in Colorado, which has yet to license that profession. Then both parties need help reaching resolution on which inspection issues the seller will and will not address.  I could write an entire column on this subject.

There are legal requirements regarding HOA documents to be provided as well as about lead-based paint hazards in homes built prior to 1978. In the latter case, failure to complete the proper disclosure on time can result in a 5-figure fine.  (It also voids the contract!)

There are other times between contract and closing when an experienced real estate professional adds value, not to mention such benefits as, in the case of Golden Real Estate, free moving trucks and packing materials.

NOTE: Buyers typically don’t pay for professional representation, because their agent gets a split of the listing commission paid by the seller. Moreover, if you have a home to sell, you can negotiate a lower commission on the sale of your home if you allow your agent to earn a commission when you buy your new home.


Published Jan. 26, 2017, in the YourHub section of the Denver Post and in four Jefferson County weekly newspapers.