Look
at the bottom two lines on this above chart. They show that while the
number of unsold homes on the MLS (what I call "total
inventory") increased by 4.5% in March over February, the number of those
that are under contract increased at over twice that rate -- 11.7%.
That is why the "inventory" defined by other analysts (i.e., active
listings only) fell by 1.8%. It's not that sellers aren't putting
their homes on the market, it's just that buyers are snapping up listings
faster than they can be added.
In
the above chart, I have highlighted in red
the only areas and months when the percentage of inventory under contract was
higher during the past 12 months than it is now. And notice that for the
first time ever (that I know of), over 50% of the total MLS listings are under
contract.
Now,
look at this chart:
What
surprises me most is the dramatic increase in buyer activity in the homes over
$500,000. The percentages in the top four price ranges have increased
by nearly half, even in the very highest price ranges. In Jeffco, the
percentage of million-dollar-plus homes under contract has nearly
doubled. How much higher can these calculations go next month? Stay
tuned!
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